Is 3D Printing the future of Home Building?

Over the past few years 3D printing has become more and more common. You can 3D print tools, phone cases, bottle openers and much more, but 3D printing homes? Development Group Palari is “printing” 15 homes in a community in Ranch Mirage. Each will be 3 bedrooms and priced between $595,000 and $850,000. The homes presold in a matter of days.

3D printed homes

3D printed homes

Will the current lack of home supply and high demand create an environment where this 3d printing innovation is actually practical and scalable for home building?

According to the National Association of Home Builders, “Builders are doing everything possible to avoid pricing consumers out of homes while still maintaining competitive prices necessary to operate their businesses.” Is 3D printing a cheaper more effective way to create supply during the housing shortage?

Proponents of 3D printing say this technology will allow for faster building, homes that are safer, and building practices that are sustainable and environmentally friendly. You likely won’t see any 3D printed homes in Bellingham for a long time, but who knows? If demand in the Pacific Northwest continues to increase, someone will likely find a profitable way to add supply!

3D printed home interior

3D printed home interior





Oyster Creek || Chuckanut Drive

Chuckanut Drive is an icon of The Pacific Northwest. The winding road, the incredible views, the lush rainforest are the essence of this place. Chuckanut Drive tops the shortlist of highly scenic roads in Washington. This piece of land sits on the west side of Chuckanut Drive, bordered by Oyster Creek on the North. The property is surrounded by nature, recreation, and views. Just down the gravel road is Taylor Shellfish Oyster Bar, an iconic haunt at the peak of culinary hype. Only steps from popular hikes like Oyster Dome and Blanchard Mt, world class recreation is literally out the back door. This spot is a truly uncommon opportunity for a private home on 5.6 secluded acres.

Would you like a birds-eye view of this property? We utilize a drone to take video of properties so that you can have a unique perspective from the air. This allows you to get a true feel for a large piece of property. Enjoy the video below to take a flight over over this location of a lifetime.

Supply and Demand in the Local and National Housing Market

"Today, if you’re looking for one, you’re likely to see only about half as many homes for sale as were available last winter."- New York Times

Nationwide home prices are rising and inventory is in decline. Of course, supply and demand are the reason for this trend but there is some nuance to the situation.

Here is an informative article from The New York Times That breaks down reasons for the current housing situation and some historical information that gives further insight into this unique market.

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Northwest MLS Real Estate market report

The Northwest MLS publishes a video snapshot each month highlighting buying and selling statistics in Washington State. Watch the video to get a quick look at median sales prices, total sales, current inventory and how these statistics compare to last year.

Zoom Town Bellingham

Bellingham was just named #3 on the list of top remote workplaces or  “Zoom Towns” by Livability Online. The phrase Zoom Town didn’t exist a year ago, so what is it?

Remote work is obviously becoming the norm for many industries. Meetings with co-workers can take place over a video conferencing call and most work can be done online. This has given employees a level of flexibility that we have never seen before. This flexibility has major benefits for employees and we are unlikely to fully go back. 

Since many employees no longer have to commute to and from work each day, they are free to live anywhere with a decent internet connection. This means towns that were typically associated with vacation or leisure are gaining residents. If you like hiking, boating, or skiing, why not live in a town where you can enjoy the outdoors before work, or during your lunch break?

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If there is one thing the last year has taught us, it’s that forecasting for the future is really tough. But, it is clear that remote employment is now normal and seems to be working. With typical city activities like going to eat, seeing shows, and visiting museums being restricted, outdoor activities are more popular than ever. 

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Bellingham has 100’s of miles of hiking trails, fantastic cycling, world-class mountain biking, and endless water for paddling. This little coastal mountain town is really a recreation paradise. Within one hour we have skiing, alpine hiking, and unparalleled scenery in the Mt.Baker Wilderness Area. No wonder home prices have risen dramatically in Whatcom County over the past year. The inventory of homes for sale in Whatcom County has decreased from 125 homes in February of last year to 92 homes for sale currently. 

We don’t have a crystal ball, but we do know Bellingham is a good place to be!

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Easy Home DIY Projects That are Perfect for Winter

We are deep into January. Rain, wind and dark seem to be constant, the days are short, but the time is ripe to begin that home project you have been dreaming of, or dreading. Here are 6 Do It Yourself projects that will increase your homes value and comfort. 

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  1. Deep Clean and Declutter: This one is pretty easy and won’t take 5 trips to Home Depot, possibly just a trip to Goodwill when you are finished. Don’t try to tackle the whole house at once. Pick a single room to start with. Get rid of stuff you never use, clothes you never wear, and toss that old CD player. Get some magic eraser cleaning pads and clean the scuffs of the baseboards or walls.

  2. Paint: Everybody loves a room with a fresh coat of paint. Painting itself is pretty easy but the prep can take a bit of time. Don’t rush this process, cover floors, tape edges and doorways. Buying high quality brushes will make a world of difference especially on edges and corners. Make sure to pick a color you like now and think you will like later!

  3. Consider Your Floors: This is a bigger project but will add value and style to your home. Whether you are looking for carpet, tile or hardwood, get samples, talk to an expert and get going!

  4. Fix that one thing that has been broken for years: Every house has that one thing, maybe it's a cracked window, broken door knob or just a squeaky door. You can fix it. A trip to Home Depot and a 5 minute Youtube tutorial can free you from annoyance. 

  5. Update Light Fixtures: Lighting design has changed dramatically in the last decade and nothing looks as bad as dated light fixtures that are covered in cobwebs and dust. Check out a local lighting showroom and see if anything fits your home style. You can also update curtains to allow for more natural light and if nothing else, get out the Windex and scrub off the window dust. You will be surprised at how well you can see out of your sparkling clean windows.

  6. Add a Home Gym: With many gyms still closed there has never been a better time to add an exercise room to your home. Invest in your home rather than paying a monthly fee. Get some rubber flooring from Northwest Rubber and get planning! Like Field of Dreams, If you build it, you will workout!

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Bellingham Washington Trail System

Bellingham Washington is a trail lovers paradise. Whether you enjoy mountain biking, hiking, running, exercising the dogs or getting out for a casual stroll, Bellingham has the trails for you. You can take a trail from your home to your favorite lake, coffee shop, grocery store, or even to another trail head. Here are 6 trails that are worth your Sunday afternoon excursion and will get 2021 started on the right foot. 

The waterfront trail from Downtown Bellingham to Downtown Fairhaven is a beautiful 4 mile out and back. Starting at the Taylor Street Dock in Fairhaven you will walk north along the water toward Boulevard Park. As you walk through the park, check out Woods Coffee. They have drinks, snacks and a warm fire. It is a perfect place to meet friends or warm up after a cold walk. Continue north keeping the water on your left, in about 1.5 miles the trail will end and you can continue on sidewalks another ¼ mile into downtown Bellingham. 

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Lake Padden park features a 2.6 mile gravel path that circumnavigates the lake. The trail is rolling and has lots of spur trails that can make for fun side adventures. Canoe and Kayak teams practice on the lake year round, and in the summer the lake is busy with swimmers and  paddleboarders. 

Larrabee State Park is just a quick drive down Chuckanut Drive. The park is home to one of the Pacific Northwest's classic ultramarathons, The Chuckanut 50K. Fragrance Lake trail is a hilly 5.5 mile trail that features a small lake at the top. Check out Washington Trails Association for more information on this great hike!

If Fragrance Lake isn’t enough of a challenge for you venture a little further down Chuckanut drive and check out the steep climb up Oyster Dome. Your quads will get a workout, but on a sunny day, the view from the top is priceless.

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Mountain Biking anyone? Bellingham is the home to a number of mountain bike companies as well as having world class mountain bike trails. Galbraith Mountain has over 65 miles of singletrack for every level of rider. 

And if you are looking for a bike, tune up, or just some advice, these local companies are sure to have what you need. 

Transition Bikes

Evil Bikes

Fanatik Bikes

Fairhaven Bicycles

Kona Bikes

There are so many trails throughout Bellingham, there simply isn’t enough detail if all combined on a single map. So if you want a comprehensive list, check out the City of Bellingham Trail Guide or download GAIA or All Trails for maps directly on your phone.

Bellingham has great trails and phenomenal access, but the best part is, you’re just an hour drive from the North Cascades National Park, a world renowned area with 100’s of miles of pristine alpine trails, but that's a hiking list for another day!  

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Could mortgage rates under 3% be bad for the housing market?

The historically low interest rates that are available right now present a variety of positive attributes for both home owners and potential buyers, such as increased affordability and purchase power. 

Just consider that, for each time the interest rate on a 30-year fixed rate loan is decreased by a 10th of a point, it adds up to an approximately $5,000 increase in purchasing power. 

In many cases, this effectively cancels some of the appreciation in prices. With price appreciation and low rates, however, many home owners aren’t seeing much reason to move and they are opting to refinance instead. This exerts a negative impact on the housing market, but more on that later.

It may be obvious to point out that having the average interest rate on a 30-year conventional fixed rate mortgage fall below three percent can deliver substantial cost savings to buyers and give them a reason to celebrate. Even with the Coronavirus in full-on beast mode, the notion that low interest rates are more important than prices is giving buyers a reason to go shopping. 

The hidden, less obvious consequence of low interest rates is that it has a drastic, negative impact on inventory levels, since many home owners are deciding to refinance, realize a significant monthly savings, and stay put. The sale of existing properties typically accounts for around 80 percent of the available homes for sale and many are understandably concerned about having troops of potential buyers traipsing through their home. This only exacerbates the inventory problem. 

In Whatcom County, for example, inventory levels are down by a factor of 10 percent, for the period between June 2019 and June 2020. Active listings year-over-year are down by almost 20 percent. Simply put, there’s just not much out there to buy right now. 

What does all this mean? 

If you’ve thought about selling, it could be a great time, as there isn’t much competition. Selling right now isn’t as risky as some people think: to protect our clients we am using technical skills whenever possible to limit exposure. This includes using virtual tours and staging, electronic resources when possible, and FaceTime for video conferencing and remote buyer walk-throughs. 

For buyers, there isn’t much reason to hurry. Most experts agree that the Fed is likely to keep interest rates low, at least through the end of the year. With the economy in the shape that it is, it’s hard to imagine they would find a reason to raise the interest rates. 

Deciphering the implications of the national economy on the local real estate market can feel like a full-time job. 

Now more than ever, it’s great to catch up and connect, so please share your thoughts. We’ll fill up some hours with our favorite subject: real estate! 

The Unforecasted Storm

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Dear Friends,

We hope this letter finds you safe and healthy as you shelter in place. Truly, we are in unprecedented times here in the PNW and we wanted to reach out to our client base in order to update you on the state of our real estate market and what to expect in the coming weeks and months. 

Our local real estate market has not been hit nearly as hard as Wall Street. Stocks have been volatile, entire industries are putting themselves on hold, and small businesses are taking hits, but our Whatcom County real estate stats show that there are still willing buyers and sellers amongst us. With that said, real estate showings will be put on hold during the Governor’s mandated lock down and this will surely stifle transactions over the next few weeks. 

There is so much we don’t know about what the next few months will bring, including whether the crisis will even be finished. It is safe to say that its economic impact will be felt for some time, affecting everything from employment rates to physical access to homes that are listed. Many buyers in the market will have less money and potentially less access to money. We will be keeping a watchful eye on lenders updating their underwriting policies, which will ultimately impact purchasing power.

Now, if you had aspirations of buying or selling this year, don’t lose heart (just yet). With all the “noise” rattling around on the media and coming through our screens, it may seem silly to be thinking about a home purchase or sale. There will be a large segment of buyers who are not worried about job security or may be moving for new job offers that have not been revoked. Also think of the emerging market for buyers needing to relocate to consolidate, making room for family members, or moving closer to care for older ones. 

Optimistic and glass half full, we know. But let's look at the difference between the 2008 crash and what is happening now:

In 2008 The S&P 500 ultimately ended up losing half its value by the time the plunge bottomed out. As the stock market plummeted, so did home prices. That's not what we are seeing (so far) with the COVID-19 pandemic both nationally and regionally (so far). In fact, Whatcom County average home prices have inched incrementally up since schools were closed back on March 12th. Additionally, the current rock bottom interest rates are huge incentive compared to 2008. Purchasing a home now means never having to refinance in the future on top of locking into historically low payments. 

The alternative is to hunker down and wait this thing out, and that’s fine too. Everyone has different levels of risk tolerance which is perfectly understandable. Either way, we are going to be sheltering in place but keeping you updated weekly with Whatcom County/Skagit County commercial and residential real estate statistics. You’ll be well informed of market trends, updates in real estate policy, and of course local news that will affect our property values. Until next week, be smart, be safe, and be well.

The Cantrell Group

What's Up With Our Housing?

WHAT’S UP WITH OUR HOUSING?

THE CONTEXT

Bellingham, Washington is in a housing crisis and affordable homes keep getting further and further out of reach. Washington State is working to combat this and promote condo development. The Association of Washington Cities has the details on what sort of action the state is taking in supporting these housing types.

THE STORY

For the past 10 years, very few condos have been built in Whatcom County. Condos are a great product to build that targets the new home buyer, and works well in a community that needs diversity in housing styles. 

SO WHAT?

If you are looking for affordable housing, you may be in luck! More affordable inventory will be hitting the market soon. If you own rentals, we don’t anticipate this impacting the core rental market and here’s why: most of the multi-family zoning and growth is in North Bellingham in the Cordata and Bakerview communities. The majority of the multi-family projects permitted in 2018 and 2019 are multi-family buildings for lease. 

So, there will be a shift from lease to condo projects. While more people will have opportunities to purchase affordable housing, fewer rental units will be built. 

NEW STR REGULATIONS

THE CONTEXT

STRs (Short Term Rentals) are a popular hospitality type in Bellingham as our community’s reputation continues to establish itself as a hub for adventure. Platforms such as Airbnb and VRBO have created opportunities for property owners to host guests for under 30 days in a manner that many prefer over the classic hotel experience. 

THE STORY

The City of Bellingham has produced a new series of regulations around STRs for two purposes: balancing economic opportunities with our lack of housing, and rights and safety of guests and neighbors. The cliff notes are this; you must live in your residence at least 270 out of the year, and cannot rent it out for more than 95 days out of the year. However, there is an exception – if you live in an Urban Village or Commercial area, the new regulations do not apply.

SO WHAT?

In many cities, entrepreneurs have acquired properties purely for the sake of renting them out to traveling guests. While this provides a unique economic opportunity and experience for the guests, it does have an impact on housing supply. We’d be curious to hear what you think about the new regulations on Short Term Rentals in Bellingham. Do these regulations impact your investments? Click the link below to let us know. 

From your friends – 

The Cantrell Group

WHY RISING INTEREST RATES ARE NOT IMPACTING HOME PRICES (YET)

 
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Interest rates have steadily increased to over 4% in recent months, but prices have not curbed (yet). Most people assume that mortgage rates and price have an inverse relationship (yield up=price down), after all this holds true in the bond market and commercial cap rates. This is not always the case when mortgage rates rise, as many other factors come into play, such as wages. Up until now wages in Bellingham have increased along side the mortgage rates.  According to PayScale in Q2 2018 Bellingham has experienced a .02% drop in wages. This could be an indicator prices may level off especially if rates continue to rise. 

What does this mean for you?

If you are a buyer who has been waiting on the sidelines, it may be time to start warming up!   If you are planning on selling and want to know what your house is worth today, call us we will give you a free market analysis. 

THE HOME OF THE FUTURE

 
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Lennar, the country’s biggest residential construction company is setting a new precedence in residential construction. The Florida based company has teamed up with Amazon to start making a series of Smart homes around the nation. These new homes are equipped with keyless entries and virtual doorbells. They are also outfitted with several Amazon brand devices ranging from Alexa in her many forms to little dash clickers that allow you to purchase groceries with a push of a button.

What if you want a smart home but don’t want to buy a new house entirely?

Luckily, Amazon has you covered as most of the smart devices are available from the online retailer. 

Read the full story here

THE CITY OF SUBDUED EXCITEMENT JUST GOT PRICEY

 
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Bellingham dirt is hitting record breaking amounts. The average price home sold in Bellingham for the past 3 months was $516,000. This is a new record high, with prices never going over $500,000.

Why?

The biggest contributor is the lack of new inventory. New construction and population growth is being pushed to other spots in Whatcom County. Think Blaine, Ferndale and Lynden. In fact, Blaine just got its first ever Starbucks…Welcome to the club.

What does the Chrystal Ball say?

Many believe this bubble is about to burst. The increases are not sustainable and valuations will begin to drop or level off in the near future.

What’s your end game?

Many current home buyers are scratching their heads trying to fulfill the “buy low sell high” mantra. If you are looking to cash in your chips and sell your home but not sure where to buy next, Call us we will help you find a great value.

Click here for full article. 

Nerd Alert: The numbers have been crunched: 2017 Whatcom County Housing Report

 
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The real estate story for 2017 is nothing new with prices up and demand outstripping supply. Without a significant surge in new building and affordable housing stock, the relatively high level of growth in home prices of recent years will continue in most markets. Although policymakers are increasingly looking for ways to address the lack of affordable housing, much more needs to be done soon to see a significant improvement over the medium term. Click Here for full Report. 

Wondering how much your home is worth? Contact us to find out!

P.S. We use the same approach as appraisers. 

 

WHATCOM WATERGATE FINALE...For Now

 
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This post is hopefully the final conclusion to our 4 part series titled Whatcom Watergate. After more than a year in waiting, there is finally some resolution to the so called "Hirst Decision" that heavily impacted Whatcom County rural development.   Republican and Democratic leaders reached a negotiated agreement which was signed by the Governor late yesterday. Below we have quickly outlined what it means for Whatcom County property owners . To read the full report on the fix Click Here

What Does this mean for you? The boiler points are these:

-If you are a landowner with an existing well-you are grandfathered under the pre-Hirst 5000gal/day exempt-well statute.  

-Land that is not serviced by public water and depends on an exempt well for a building permit. The following applies: 

  • Pay a one time $500 application fee
  •  3000gal/day annual average daily consumption per domestic hookup (indoor and outdoor use)
  •  Unlimited stockwatering
  • Record amounts on title

Note: different watersheds may have varying rules. The above is applicable to the Nooksack, WRIA 1, and 6 other WRIAs (1, 11, 22, 23, 49, 55, 59)”

Wondering what the next steps are? Contact us to discuss. 

 

Tips for Buying and Selling

Author: Erika Buse

 
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As a buyer with a home to sell, you’re no doubt facing a variation of the chicken-or-egg dilemma, asking which comes first: Should I buy then sell, or sell then buy? If you sell first, you may rush too quickly to buy a new house and end up with one you’re not that crazy about or perhaps paid too much for. Or you could become home-less, having to bunk with relatives or rent temporary while you continue to house hunt.

If you buy first, you’ll be Jonesing to sell your old house quickly, and for top dollar, to cover the costs of your new place. Or, worst-case scenario, you could end up paying for two houses at the same time. Yikes! To make the exchange easier, consider the pros and cons of each option and understand your appetite for risk.

Sell First, Then Buy This is perhaps the safest strategy, and in a hot market selling your house will likely be easier than buying a new one. But going this route involves multiple moves. First, you list your home and complete its sale before you buy another home. Then you put the bulk of your belongings into storage and move in with family, friends or a temporary rental while you continue to house hunt. If your buyers are amenable, you might arrange a rent-back deal that allows you to stay in the house for a month two, paying rent to the new owners, while you scout for a new house. The advantage of this scenario is that you’ll know exactly how much you can spend on a new house and you won’t have to worry about getting temporary financing. Plus, without another house waiting in the wings, you’ll be less tempted to drop your price or accept any offer that comes in, even lowball offers. The downside, of course, is the disruption in your routine and the prospect of being displaced for a while if your house search takes a long time.

Buy First, Then Sell This strategy eliminates the threat of being home-less and minimizes disruption. In this scenario, you buy a new house, move in, and then sell your old house. In a buyer’s market, finding a new house will be relatively easy, with lots of houses to choose from at reasonable prices; but, depending on how long it takes your old home to sell, you could end up paying two mortgages for a period of time.  There is also a chance you will qualify for less with an existing mortgage in place. This plan typically works best if your first house is already paid off.

Another option is to make the purchase of your new house contingent on selling your old house. A seller who’s having a hard time finding a buyer may be wiling to accept a contingent offer, even though it means waiting for you to find a buyer. Limiting your search to houses that have been on the market for 30 days or more may be your best bet here, as their owners might be more receptive to a contingency. In hot markets, however, sellers rarely accept contingent offers, so be prepared to give your seller good reasons why you believe your home will sell quickly. If contingency is not an option, talk to a mortgage broker about arranging financing.

Nicole Cooley, local money coach and Founder of Money with Moxy, concludes with this advice, “If you are having a hard time deciding which home buying strategy is best for you consider three things. 1.Your season of life. (e.g. If you have small kids at home, it might be harder to be displaced or move twice) 2. Your cash cushion. (e.g. If you don't have the appropriate cash cushion to carry two mortgages, don't try to swing it. The stress won't be worth it) 3. Your gut. Understand all the options and get all the info and then make the best decision for your family”. 

 

 

Didn't Win the Powerball?

 

Author: Erika Buse

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The chances of winning the $759 million Powerball were approximately one in 290 million. you're more likely to get struck by lightning, attacked by a shark, and hit a hole-in-one all on the same day. So if you played and lost, it's probably not a huge surprise. If you're looking for more reliable ways to build wealth, consider investing in real estate and generating some passive income. The Bellingham rental market over the past two decades has been robust, with residential rents increasing 9 % since last year. (According to Zillow).

Larry Simpkins, who has been rental owner for over 30 years says, “Being a rental owner has been a profitable endeavor for us over the years.  Using the rental income to pay for the mortgages can be a smart business plan. Owning rentals is not a get rich quick thing but for the right individuals it is a slow and steady way of building financial security”.

Owning rentals is not as cumbersome as some people may think; as you can hire a property management company for less than 6 percent of the yearly income.  Not only are you generating monthly cash flow, but Uncle Sam allows you to take advantage of depreciation which has a significant positive impact on your Internal Rate of Return. Similar to owning stocks, investing in rentals involves a certain level of risk. Understanding the expenses and factoring in potential vacancies is critical to protecting your downside. Not into spreadsheets and calculating deprecation or the IRR? No problem, call us for a sample of our rental income worksheets. These worksheets help us identify good potential buys.

Rentals can also be a good option for folks who are willing to owner occupy. On both conventional Fannie Mae loans and loans backed by the Federal Housing Administration, a portion of the anticipated rental income can be added onto the borrower’s income at application, which helps people qualify for more house than they normally would. The loans are available for owner-occupied properties with 4 units or less.

Investing in income producing real estate is a great way to generate passive income and diversify your investment portfolio. Bonus point: When you invest in real estate, you are buying physical land or property, there is a certain level of security when you can physically see your investment in the ground. Feel free to call us to chat about entering the rental market. *If you are comfortable relying on Powerball to come through for retirement please disregard the above article.

Series: Watergate Part III

Author: Derek Buse 

 
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When it comes to water rights in Whatcom County, namely an update on the Hirst Decision ruling, there is not much to report. ( Wait, what is the Hirst Decision again?) There was an impasse at the State Senate in late July on a bill that could potentially fix or reverse the Hirst Decision. Senate Republicans claim they will not pass a capital budget without legislation aimed at overturning the Hirst decision.  This leaves us at square one, scratching our heads, wondering where to go from here?  If you're a property owner, do you sit on that parcel and wait out a "fix" in hopes that it will be business as usual?  Or do you cut bait and fire sale it now while we are still in limbo on long term legislation that could negatively effect its value till the end of time? At the end of the day, this ruling is now moving Whatcom County into the hot seat and holding it responsible for becoming the water authority.  This has never been the case.  The county is now responsible for determining connectivity and impairment for small scale impacts such as permit exempt wells and they do not have the resources at hand to make these decisions effectively.  It is rumored that the bill is already 20 pages long, It could take years to put into act, a system that allows Whatcom County to monitor water usage at any level with any sort of accuracy.  The point here is that there is probably no quick fix in sight.  

What are the options?

Construction loans for a single family (primary) using rain catchment as the water source are difficult to come by. Many banks say they loan on homes with catchment systems but we are finding this is simply not true. There are few more adventurous lenders locally that plan to start in-house loan programs that may accommodate these types of loans later this year. We have sourced one financial institution who finances bare land transactions without water.  This is a viable option if you plan to buy and wait to build.

Call or email us if you have questions regarding financing vacant land or how Hirst decision affects your property.